Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.037451 0.042436 0.047969 0.054589 0.062327 0.071119 0.081918
2024-10-13 0.028172 0.034357 0.041857 0.051712 0.064455 0.080564 0.102765
2024-10-20 0.023550 0.030186 0.038736 0.050735 0.067428 0.090266 0.124655
2024-10-27 0.020248 0.026960 0.036019 0.049407 0.069157 0.097985 0.144739
2024-11-03 0.018534 0.025526 0.035367 0.050614 0.074357 0.111201 0.175404
2024-11-10 0.017180 0.024372 0.034875 0.051847 0.079613 0.125206 0.210230
2024-11-17 0.015748 0.022907 0.033696 0.051775 0.082653 0.135965 0.241689
2024-11-24 0.014382 0.021378 0.032214 0.050961 0.084231 0.144337 0.270463
2024-12-01 0.013457 0.020430 0.031522 0.051326 0.087846 0.156921 0.310565
2024-12-08 0.012593 0.019487 0.030723 0.051376 0.090837 0.168772 0.352070
2024-12-15 0.011897 0.018748 0.030178 0.051784 0.094526 0.182625 0.401807
2024-12-22 0.010887 0.017394 0.028446 0.049788 0.093159 0.185592 0.426040
2024-12-29 0.010602 0.017308 0.029016 0.052407 0.102024 0.213637 0.526106
2025-01-05 0.009578 0.015851 0.027002 0.049773 0.099447 0.215258 0.555946
2025-01-12 0.008896 0.014945 0.025908 0.048846 0.100467 0.225765 0.615864
2025-01-19 0.008245 0.014039 0.024725 0.047578 0.100492 0.233794 0.671498
2025-01-26 0.007943 0.013749 0.024690 0.048731 0.106412 0.258721 0.794350
2025-02-02 0.007668 0.013483 0.024671 0.049910 0.112616 0.286124 0.940332
2025-02-09 0.007287 0.012982 0.024129 0.049841 0.115644 0.305199 1.064985
2025-02-16 0.006870 0.012378 0.023324 0.049063 0.116678 0.318556 1.173822
2025-02-23 0.006592 0.012028 0.023012 0.049412 0.120848 0.343088 1.347614
2025-03-02 0.006308 0.011645 0.022598 0.049459 0.124194 0.365952 1.529364
2025-03-09 0.006074 0.011345 0.022334 0.049849 0.128621 0.394014 1.759011